Kare muzana remakore rechitanhatu BC muzivi wechiGiriki Heraclitus akati: "Zvese zvinoyerera zvese zvinoshanduka".
Zviri cliché - nyika yakatitenderedza yakachinja zvakanyanya uye iri kuchinja nguva dzese nekumhanya kunotyisa uye kushoma kufungidzira ...
(izvo zvinonyatsotsanangurwa mune akakurumbira N. Taleb's bestseller "Black swans") uye zvakare ruzivo rwakajairika - Kusavimbika musimboti, wakagadzirwa naHeisenberg.
Mafungiro ataurwa pamusoro haafanire kutorwa semanyuko ekusava netariro uye fungidziro dzeapocalyptic.
Mukupesana-kuzvinzwisisa kunomutsa maitiro anochinjika uye anochinjika, achibudirira kubata chero mamiriro ezvinhu uye mamiriro.
Neuropsychologists vanopokana kuti huropi hwevanhu hunotora zviitiko zvitsva sezvingango tyisidzira, zvinoda kubviswa kweanozivikanwa uye anojairika maitiro algorithms.
Mumamiriro ezvinhu matsva maitiro ekare haasisina basa uye huropi huri kukurumidza kuyedza kutsanangura zvitsva, zvakanyatsoenderana nemaitiro ekuchinja ...
yakaoma, ine simba - yakanyanyisa uye inogona kuva nengozi kune mamiriro ezvinhu evanhu vanobatanidzwa
Sic, zviremera zvine chekuita nehurongwa hwehupfumi hazvisi kuenderana nemamiriro anogara achichinja uye kazhinji vanoita mhirizhonga uye kunonoka kumatambudziko…
Uzbekistan inoda hurongwa hwehupfumi hwakadzama hwakavakirwa pakuongorora kwakadzama kweiyo tectonic shanduko muhwaro hwepasirese, kwadzinobva nemhedzisiro, kufanotaura zvinogona kutyisidzira uye matambudziko ekuchengetedza chikafu chedu uye kuita zvakarongeka uye pasina kuvhunduka.
Munguva dzekusagadzikana kwepasi rose kuchengetedzwa kwechikafu uye budiriro yezvekurima inova chinhu chekutanga chehurumende uye basa rave pedyo. Nekudaro, mune yepasi rose chengetedzo yechikafu index muna 2022 Uzbekistan inongova makumi manomwe neshanu chete. pakati penyika 73…
Kune makumi maviri nenomwe muzana yevagari veUzbek vanogara kumaruwa-budiriro yekurima inyaya yekurarama.
Sainzi hazvigoneke kubvisa zvekurima kubva kune iyo macroeconomic system yeUzbekistan, zvisinei nekuda kwechinyorwa chipfupi ichi ndichaedza kutarisisa pane iyi nyaya inorwadza.
Kwemakore makumi matatu apfuura muchikamu chezvekurima, ndanga ndichiona nekushushikana kuri kuwedzera kuderera kwekurima kwekurima. Tsika iyi idambudziko chairo kune kuchengetedzwa kwechikafu uye nekudaro kune hutongi hwenyika yedu
Sekuona kwangu kuzvininipisa, zviremera zvedu zvine fungidziro yekuti kushomeka kwechikafu chemuno kunogona kutsiviwa nekutenga kunze kwenyika.
Ini ndinofanira kubvuma kuti kushomeka kwembatatisi kwakatsiviwa nekukura kwegore kubva kuKazakhstan neRussia. Nota bene: tiri kutaura pamusoro pemazana emamiriyoni emadhora mumamiriro ekushaikwa kwemari yakaoma muUzbekistan nekuda kwekusagadzikana kwekutengeserana.
Mutungamiriri weRepublic yeUzbekistan Mirzieev akataura nguva pfupi yadarika kuti kwemakore mazhinji pinza muUzbekistan ichipfuura kunze kwenyika uye kusaenzana kwekutengeserana uku kunokanganisa hupfumi hwedu.
Ndicho chimwe chezvikonzero zvekukwira kwemitengo yezvinhu (UZS iri pakati peinonyanya kudzikira mari)
Tichifunga nezve mablack swans senge denda, kurwisana kwemauto, zvichikonzera kukanganisa kwezvinhu zviripo, mutengo wekutakura uye kuwedzera kwemafuta, kudhura kweinishuwarenzi uye zvichingodaro - zvese zvinotsanangura kukwidziridzwa kwemitengo yekunze.
Nekudaro, kunyangwe nekuzengurira kwezviremera zvedu, ivo vanoda nekukurumidza sezvinobvira kuita shanduko dzakaoma uye dzakamirirwa kwenguva refu mune zvekurima zvichibva pachirongwa chakasimba uye chenguva refu chekuchengetedzwa kwechikafu.
Mubvunzo mumwe uri kundinetsa kwenguva yakareba - sei kubva kune mutengesi weUzbekistan akashanduka kuva mumwe wevatengesi vakuru vembatatisi?
Ndiri kutarisa nezvenyaya iyi nemaune nekuti inoita kunge chiratidzo chakanakisa chezvinetso zvenguva refu zvechikamu chezvekurima chiri kunetsa muUzbekistan.
Senguva dzose zvikonzero zvekudzikira kukuru mukurima kwedu zvine chinangwa uye zvinokonzeresa.
Pakati pezvikonzero zvinokanganisa hupfumi hwedu ndezvinotevera:
- Kudziya kwepasi rose pamwe chete nemamiriro ekunze emukondinendi kuri kukonzera kukanganisa kwakawanda: nguva yezvinomera iri kupfupika, tembiricha yezhizha iri kukwira, ichipedza mvura kubva mumazaya echando.
- Kukwira kwemitengo yekugadzirwa kwechikafu (pasi rose)
- Kuwedzera kwevanhu pasi rose
- COVID-19
- Kupokana kwemauto kunosanganisira nyika zhinji uye kukonzeresa dambudziko repasi rose uye kudzikira, mitengo iri kudonha uye inflation…
Uye maitiro ese aya ari kuramba achiwedzera mumamiriro edu enzvimbo - (zvikonzero zvinokonzeresa).
1.Kushomeka kwemvura nekusanaya kwemvura kunokonzerwa nehutsinye, hwekare, kushandiswa kwemvura kwakakura- matunhu ese ari kushanduka kuita gwenga asina kukodzera zvachose kurima horticulture.
2. Kushatisa ivhu, kushaikwa kwehurongwa hwekugovewa kwezviwanikwa zvichibva mukutsvagisa kwakadzama pamusoro pemaitiro emvura uye zvimwe zviwanikwa mashandisirwo ezvirimwa zvakasiyana, pasina kutenderedza zvirimwa, mune dzimwe nguva kuendesa minda yekurima mumaune kune chinangwa chisina chokwadi. …
3. Pakati pemigumisiro yeizvi goho uye kuderera kwekubudirira kwevashandi muchikamu chekurima. Kuti ndive akatendeseka zvakakwana ndinofanira kubvuma kuti kune kusimudzira kwakakura mukugadzira donje, michero uye gorosi. Hurumende inobatanidzwa zvakanyanya mukutsigira maindasitiri aya nekupa zvikwereti zvakaderera uye mamwe matanho Zvakadaro kuverengerwa chaiko kwechikamu pakati pezvipo nezvinobuda kunofanirwa kuitwa kuitira kuongorora kushanda kwechokwadi kwematanho aya Semuyenzaniso, zvisinei nekukura kwegoho regorosi uye yakazara. kurima Uzbekistan ichiri kutenga gorosi rakakura kwazvo kubva kuKazakhstan nekuRussia kuti rizadzise zvinodiwa neveko Saka mahekita edu ekudiridza anodhura zvakanyanya ari kushandiswa pasina kuverengerwa goho chairo rehupfumi hwese kubva muchirimwa chimwe nechimwe.
4. Kukurumidza kuwedzera kwehuwandu muUzbekistan Zvingangoita kuti huwandu hwedu husvike mamirioni makumi mana kare muna40.
5. Kuwana zvishoma kune inokwanisika mari yenguva refu.
6. Kushaikwa kwevaridzi veminda ndicho chipingamupinyi mukukwezva mari inopinda mukurima kuitira kuti ivhu rigone kushandiswa sechibatiso chezvikwereti uye sezvo varimi vasiri ivo varidzi veminda, havadi kuisa mari mairi.
7. Kushaikwa kwemidziyo yemazuva ano yekurima yakadai sematura nemafekitari ekugadzira izvo zvinogona kubatsira mukuchengetedzwa kuri nani uye kwenguva refu kwezvigadzirwa zvekurima nekugadzira zvigadzirwa zvine kukosha kwakawedzerwa.
8. Zvipingamupinyi zvakawanda mukutengeserana kwenharaunda nekushandira pamwe pakati penyika dzakavakidzana mukugovera simba uye zviwanikwa zvemvura uye kushandiswa.
9. Kushaikwa kwesainzi prognosis yakavakirwa pakudzidza kwakaringana kwezvakatipoteredza, kunaka kwevhu, kunyanya zvirimwa zvinobudirira maererano nekupisa kwavo kupisa, mvura uye zvimwe zviwanikwa zvinoshandiswa, kureba kwezvinomera. Tisingaregererwi zvishoma nezvishoma tinoroverera mvura itsva uye matekinoroji ekuchengetedza simba. Uyezve, hurongwa hwekusafunga hwakadai sekuvakwa kwemagreenhouses akawanda pasina gasi rakakwana zvakakonzera kurasikirwa kukuru kwemari yevaridzi vegreenhouse, kuunza VAT pakuunzwa kwezvinhu zvakakonzera kuwedzera kwemitengo uye kutiza kwemabhizinesi mazhinji mumumvuri kudzivirira mutero wakakwira.
10. Kusavapo kwehurongwa hwakarongeka, kubatanidza zvinhu zvose zvemacro uye micro economics kutanga kubva pakugadzirisa kwekutonga, kurerutsa, kuendesa mberi, kuisa digiti yese masevhisi ehurumende, kukunda nzira dzakatetepa dzedhipatimendi dzekugadzirisa matambudziko. Zvekare, zvakakosha kutaura kuti hurumende yeUzbek iri kushingaira kutsvaga kusununguka uye kugadzirisa hupfumi, kugadzirisa huwori nehurombo, kugadzirisa hukama nenyika dzakavakidzana - hwaro hwayo hwakasimba hwekubatana kwedunhu. - asi zvakadaro inononoka uye haina kukwana zvichikonzera kukundikana kunoodza mwoyo mukuwana uye kushandisa nemazvo kwekudyara kwemari muhupfumi hwedu, izvo zvakashoropodzwa zvakanyanya neMutungamiriri wedu mukutaura kwavakaita munguva pfupi yapfuura.
11. Pakati pezvipingamupinyi zvakakomba kufambiro mberi kwehupfumi idanho rakaderera zvakanyanya redzidzo yevashandi vekurima. Vanoda ruzivo mune zvemazuva ano zvinoshanda tekinoroji-uye manejimendi, zvemari uye kuverenga nemutemo, kusiyanisa zvirimwa kudzikamisa njodzi dzinosanganisirwa nezvimwe.
Tichitarisa matambudziko ose ataurwa ngatiedzei kutsvaga mhinduro dzinobvira dzekukunda maitiro asina kunaka mukurima uye kusimbisa kusimukira kwayo. Pakutanga hurumende yedu inofanirwa kutsanangura misimboti yemethodological iyo ichashandiswa kuita aya mabasa: hupfumi hwemusika kana hurongwa hwekutonga hwakarongwa.
Kana isu takatarisa pahupfumi hwemusika, isu tinofanirwa kuita nekukurumidza matanho anodiwa akadai se:
1. Kushambadzirwa kwevhu (kufanoona matambudziko uye nharo) kuchaita kuti ive chikamu chekuchinja kwemari pakupedzisira. Ichakwezva mari inodiwa mukurima, zvichiita kuti varimi vavandudze ivhu, zvivakwa, zvechimanjemanje uye otomatiki kugadzirwa kwekurima, kushandiswa kwesimba uye matekinoroji ekuchengetedza mvura, kuita ESG maitiro.
2. Kuverengwa kwevanhu kwakamirirwa kwenguva refu kuti tinzwisise kukura kwekuvandudzwa uye kuvapo kwevanhu vanokwanisa kuzviita.
Hazvigoneke kuita ongororo yakakwana yemamiriro azvino uye kuronga kwehurongwa usingazive nhamba chaiyo, chimiro (chikadzi, zera, dzinza, nyanzvi, dzidzo) uye mafambiro ehuwandu hwevanhu.
3. Kusimudzirwa kwekutengeserana kwedunhu nekushandira pamwe mukugadzirwa kwemvura uye simba uye kushandiswa, kubviswa kwezvipingamupinyi zvese zvasara.
4. Dzidzo yakasimba yeHuman Resources yemuno, hazvibviri kuona shanduko ineshungu pasina nyanzvi dzine hunyanzvi.
5. Kugadzira mutero unofadza uye mitero yetsika kuitira kuti kurima kuve kwechimanjemanje kuti kuwedzere goho nekubudirira kwevashandi. Kudzimwa kweVAT pane zvinotengeswa kunze kwemichina yekurima nemidziyo yekugadzira nekuchengetedza nzvimbo, mhodzi dzemhando yepamusoro uye masheya ekuberekesa…
6. Inosarudzika zvikwereti zvenguva refu kuvarimi nemabhizinesi ekurima nekushandisa inishuwarenzi yenjodzi, zvibatiso zvakasimba, zvinochinjika zvemari zviridzwa zvakaita sefactoring, overdrafts, escrow accounts uye bank guarantees etc.
7. Alternative energy sources (solar, wind) kuchengetedza kukura kwakasimba kwechikamu chekurima
Kuchengetedzwa kwechikafu ndihwo hwaro hwehutongi hwenyika. Chokwadi, hazvigoneke kusvika zana muzana rekuzviriritira, kuumbwa kwenzvimbo inogara uye yakagadzikana kudzivirira kushomeka kwechikafu uye kukwira kwemitengo yezvinhu zvakakosha zve "basket rekudya" (zvimwe nenzira. yekukurudzira zvirimwa zvemuno kusarudza mbesa dzakanyanya kushanda zvakanaka mumamiriro ekunze nevhu, zvimwe kuburikidza nenguva yakafanira saka mutengo unoshanda zvakanaka) - kiyi yebudiriro yakadzikama yekugara zvakanaka kwevanhu nekugadzikana kwehurongwa hwehurumende.
Adjunct purofesa weWebster yunivhesiti muTashkent
Dunhu maneja weCCA Agrico NL